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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 191 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 191 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 16 h 10 min before kickoff. Sanfrecce Hiroshima opened as the favorite at 1.93 (-107) and drifted to 1.96 (-104). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fagiano Okayama 25% → 24%, draw 26% → 27%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50% → 49%. The Asian handicap held at Fagiano Okayama +0.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 4 h 35 min before kickoff: Sanfrecce Hiroshima went from 51% to 48% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Fagiano Okayama3.89 (+289)4.04 (+304)
Draw3.75 (+275)3.61 (+261)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.93 (-107)1.96 (-104)
Asian handicapFagiano Okayama +0.5 · 1.94 (-106)Fagiano Okayama +0.5 · 1.93 (-107)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 2.5 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%31%44%56%Fagiano Okayama 24%Draw 27%Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.5)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.5

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