Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy — odds movement
Sep 6, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 203 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 203 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 17 h 10 min before kickoff. Cerezo Osaka opened as the favorite at 1.82 (-122) and shortened to 1.69 (-144). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cerezo Osaka 53% → 57%, draw 26% → 24%, Tokyo Verdy 21% → 19%. The Asian handicap moved from Cerezo Osaka -0.5 to Cerezo Osaka -0.75. The total moved up from 2.25 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 1 h 45 min before kickoff: Cerezo Osaka went from 54% to 56% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Cerezo Osaka | 1.82 (-122) | 1.69 (-144) |
| Draw | 3.72 (+272) | 3.97 (+297) |
| Tokyo Verdy | 4.47 (+347) | 5.15 (+415) |
| Asian handicap | Cerezo Osaka -0.5 · 1.83 (-121) | Cerezo Osaka -0.75 · 1.91 (-110) |
| Total | O/U 2.25 · over 1.86 (-116) | O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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