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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 203 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 203 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 17 h 10 min before kickoff. Cerezo Osaka opened as the favorite at 1.82 (-122) and shortened to 1.69 (-144). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cerezo Osaka 53% → 57%, draw 26% → 24%, Tokyo Verdy 21% → 19%. The Asian handicap moved from Cerezo Osaka -0.5 to Cerezo Osaka -0.75. The total moved up from 2.25 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 1 h 45 min before kickoff: Cerezo Osaka went from 54% to 56% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Cerezo Osaka1.82 (-122)1.69 (-144)
Draw3.72 (+272)3.97 (+297)
Tokyo Verdy4.47 (+347)5.15 (+415)
Asian handicapCerezo Osaka -0.5 · 1.83 (-121)Cerezo Osaka -0.75 · 1.91 (-110)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.86 (-116)O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
12%29%47%65%Cerezo Osaka 57%Draw 24%Tokyo Verdy 19%
Asian handicap · Cerezo Osaka
-0.75-0.5-0.5 → -0.75
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.25 → 2.5

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