Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions — odds movement
Sep 8, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 259 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 259 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 50 min before first pitch. Saitama Seibu Lions opened as the favorite at 1.89 (-113) and shortened to 1.68 (-147). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Orix Buffaloes 48% → 42%, Saitama Seibu Lions 52% → 58%. The run line held at Orix Buffaloes +1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.5. The sharpest single move came 20 minutes before first pitch: Orix Buffaloes went from 45% to 42% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Orix Buffaloes | 2.01 (+101) | 2.30 (+130) |
| Saitama Seibu Lions | 1.89 (-113) | 1.68 (-147) |
| run line | Orix Buffaloes +1.5 · 1.53 (-188) | Orix Buffaloes +1.5 · 1.71 (-140) |
| Total | O/U 6.5 · over 2.14 (+114) | O/U 6.5 · over 1.99 (-101) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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