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Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions — odds movement

Sep 8, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 259 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 259 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 50 min before first pitch. Saitama Seibu Lions opened as the favorite at 1.89 (-113) and shortened to 1.68 (-147). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Orix Buffaloes 48% → 42%, Saitama Seibu Lions 52% → 58%. The run line held at Orix Buffaloes +1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.5. The sharpest single move came 20 minutes before first pitch: Orix Buffaloes went from 45% to 42% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Orix Buffaloes2.01 (+101)2.30 (+130)
Saitama Seibu Lions1.89 (-113)1.68 (-147)
run lineOrix Buffaloes +1.5 · 1.53 (-188)Orix Buffaloes +1.5 · 1.71 (-140)
TotalO/U 6.5 · over 2.14 (+114)O/U 6.5 · over 1.99 (-101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
39%46%54%61%Orix Buffaloes 42%Saitama Seibu Lions 58%
run line · no change in the recorded window (+1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (6.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).