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⚾ Baseball Nippon Professional Baseball Final

Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka Softbank Hawks — odds movement

Oct 3, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 235 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 235 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 20 h 5 min before first pitch. Fukuoka Softbank Hawks opened as the favorite at 1.52 (-191) and shortened to 1.45 (-224). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chiba Lotte Marines 36% → 33%, Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 64% → 67%. The run line held at Chiba Lotte Marines +1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 8.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Chiba Lotte Marines2.66 (+166)2.93 (+193)
Fukuoka Softbank Hawks1.52 (-191)1.45 (-224)
run lineChiba Lotte Marines +1.5 · 1.91 (-110)Chiba Lotte Marines +1.5 · 2.15 (+115)
TotalO/U 8 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 8 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
27%42%58%73%Chiba Lotte Marines 33%Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 67%
run line · no change in the recorded window (+1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (8)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).