Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka Softbank Hawks — odds movement
Oct 3, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 235 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 235 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 20 h 5 min before first pitch. Fukuoka Softbank Hawks opened as the favorite at 1.52 (-191) and shortened to 1.45 (-224). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chiba Lotte Marines 36% → 33%, Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 64% → 67%. The run line held at Chiba Lotte Marines +1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 8.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Chiba Lotte Marines
2.66 (+166)
2.93 (+193)
Fukuoka Softbank Hawks
1.52 (-191)
1.45 (-224)
run line
Chiba Lotte Marines +1.5 · 1.91 (-110)
Chiba Lotte Marines +1.5 · 2.15 (+115)
Total
O/U 8 · over 1.93 (-107)
O/U 8 · over 1.88 (-114)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
run line · no change in the recorded window (+1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (8)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.