Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka Softbank Hawks — odds movement
Oct 2, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 217 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 217 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 20 min before first pitch. Fukuoka Softbank Hawks opened as the favorite at 1.61 (-165) and shortened to 1.43 (-231). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chiba Lotte Marines 40% → 32%, Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 60% → 68%. The run line held at Chiba Lotte Marines +1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 8. The sharpest single move came 18 h 15 min before first pitch: Chiba Lotte Marines went from 40% to 38% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Chiba Lotte Marines
2.45 (+145)
2.98 (+198)
Fukuoka Softbank Hawks
1.61 (-165)
1.43 (-231)
run line
Chiba Lotte Marines +1.5 · 1.84 (-119)
Chiba Lotte Marines +1.5 · 2.11 (+111)
Total
O/U 8 · over 1.97 (-103)
O/U 8 · over 1.99 (-101)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
run line · no change in the recorded window (+1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (8)
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