Scan with your phone camera Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp — odds movement
Oct 4, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 234 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 234 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 45 min before first pitch. Hiroshima Toyo Carp opened as the favorite at 1.64 (-156) and shortened to 1.56 (-180). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tokyo Yakult Swallows 41% → 38%, Hiroshima Toyo Carp 59% → 62%. The run line held at Tokyo Yakult Swallows +1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.5. The sharpest single move came 20 minutes before first pitch: Tokyo Yakult Swallows went from 40% to 38% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 2.37 (+137) | 2.58 (+158) |
| Hiroshima Toyo Carp | 1.64 (-156) | 1.56 (-180) |
| run line | Tokyo Yakult Swallows +1.5 · 1.70 (-143) | Tokyo Yakult Swallows +1.5 · 1.81 (-124) |
| Total | O/U 6.5 · over 1.96 (-104) | O/U 6.5 · over 2.01 (+101) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).