Scan with your phone camera Chiba Lotte Marines vs Saitama Seibu Lions — odds movement
Oct 6, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 230 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 230 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 55 min before first pitch. Saitama Seibu Lions opened as the favorite at 1.75 (-133) and drifted to 1.86 (-116). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chiba Lotte Marines 45% → 48%, Saitama Seibu Lions 55% → 52%. The run line held at Chiba Lotte Marines +1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.5. The sharpest single move came 19 h 40 min before first pitch: Saitama Seibu Lions went from 55% to 53% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Chiba Lotte Marines | 2.18 (+118) | 2.03 (+103) |
| Saitama Seibu Lions | 1.75 (-133) | 1.86 (-116) |
| run line | Chiba Lotte Marines +1.5 · 1.63 (-160) | Chiba Lotte Marines +1.5 · 1.57 (-174) |
| Total | O/U 6.5 · over 1.88 (-114) | O/U 6.5 · over 1.89 (-113) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).