Saitama Seibu Lions vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters — odds movement
Oct 10, 2026 · 2:00 PM JST · 260 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 260 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 55 min before first pitch. Saitama Seibu Lions opened as the favorite at 1.70 (-143) and shortened to 1.57 (-176). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Saitama Seibu Lions 57% → 62%, Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 43% → 38%. The run line held at Saitama Seibu Lions -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 5.5.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Saitama Seibu Lions
1.70 (-143)
1.57 (-176)
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
2.26 (+126)
2.54 (+154)
run line
Saitama Seibu Lions -1.5 · 2.69 (+169)
Saitama Seibu Lions -1.5 · 2.24 (+124)
Total
O/U 5.5 · over 1.94 (-106)
O/U 5.5 · over 1.90 (-111)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
run line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (5.5)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.