Sep 11, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Kashiwa Reysol opened as the favorite at 1.81 (-123) and shortened to 1.78 (-129). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kyoto Sanga 23% → 22%, draw 25% → 24%, Kashiwa Reysol 52% → 54%. The Asian handicap moved from Kyoto Sanga +0.5 to Kyoto Sanga +0.75. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 4 h 55 min before kickoff: Kashiwa Reysol went from 52% to 57% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Kyoto Sanga
4.15 (+315)
4.41 (+341)
Draw
3.83 (+283)
4.06 (+306)
Kashiwa Reysol
1.81 (-123)
1.78 (-129)
Asian handicap
Kyoto Sanga +0.5 · 2.04 (+104)
Kyoto Sanga +0.75 · 1.89 (-112)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.95 (-105)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Kyoto Sanga
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)
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