Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka — odds movement
Sep 12, 2026 · 6:30 PM JST · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Avispa Fukuoka opened as the favorite at 2.47 (+147) and drifted to 2.65 (+165). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Shimizu S-Pulse 33% → 32%, draw 29% → 31%, Avispa Fukuoka 39% → 37%. The Asian handicap held at Shimizu S-Pulse 0 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.25 to 2. The sharpest single move came 1 h 50 min before kickoff: Shimizu S-Pulse went from 32% to 33% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 2.92 (+192) | 3.01 (+201) |
| Draw | 3.30 (+230) | 3.09 (+209) |
| Avispa Fukuoka | 2.47 (+147) | 2.65 (+165) |
| Asian handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse 0 · 2.11 (+111) | Shimizu S-Pulse 0 · 2.09 (+109) |
| Total | O/U 2.25 · over 1.93 (-107) | O/U 2 · over 1.92 (-109) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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