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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 6:30 PM JST · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Avispa Fukuoka opened as the favorite at 2.47 (+147) and drifted to 2.65 (+165). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Shimizu S-Pulse 33% → 32%, draw 29% → 31%, Avispa Fukuoka 39% → 37%. The Asian handicap held at Shimizu S-Pulse 0 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.25 to 2. The sharpest single move came 1 h 50 min before kickoff: Shimizu S-Pulse went from 32% to 33% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Shimizu S-Pulse2.92 (+192)3.01 (+201)
Draw3.30 (+230)3.09 (+209)
Avispa Fukuoka2.47 (+147)2.65 (+165)
Asian handicapShimizu S-Pulse 0 · 2.11 (+111)Shimizu S-Pulse 0 · 2.09 (+109)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 2 · over 1.92 (-109)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
27%31%36%40%Shimizu S-Pulse 32%Draw 31%Avispa Fukuoka 37%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (0)
Total (over/under)
22.252.25 → 2

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