V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus — odds movement
Sep 12, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Nagoya Grampus opened as the favorite at 2.13 (+113) and shortened to 2.00 (+100). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): V-Varen Nagasaki 29% → 26%, draw 26% → 25%, Nagoya Grampus 45% → 48%. The Asian handicap moved from V-Varen Nagasaki +0.25 to V-Varen Nagasaki +0.5. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 5 h 25 min before kickoff: Nagoya Grampus went from 45% to 49% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
V-Varen Nagasaki
3.25 (+225)
3.65 (+265)
Draw
3.66 (+266)
3.83 (+283)
Nagoya Grampus
2.13 (+113)
2.00 (+100)
Asian handicap
V-Varen Nagasaki +0.25 · 1.99 (-101)
V-Varen Nagasaki +0.5 · 1.89 (-112)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-107)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · V-Varen Nagasaki
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)
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