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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Machida Zelvia opened as the favorite at 1.79 (-127) and drifted to 1.94 (-106). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Machida Zelvia 53% → 50%, draw 25% → 26%, Yokohama F. Marinos 22% → 25%. The Asian handicap moved from Machida Zelvia -0.75 to Machida Zelvia -0.5. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 4 h 55 min before kickoff: Machida Zelvia went from 53% to 50% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Machida Zelvia1.79 (-127)1.94 (-106)
Draw3.83 (+283)3.76 (+276)
Yokohama F. Marinos4.31 (+331)3.94 (+294)
Asian handicapMachida Zelvia -0.75 · 2.04 (+104)Machida Zelvia -0.5 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.85 (-118)O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
16%31%45%60%Machida Zelvia 50%Draw 26%Yokohama F. Marinos 25%
Asian handicap · Machida Zelvia
-0.75-0.5-0.75 → -0.5
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.5

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