Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka — odds movement
Sep 12, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Sanfrecce Hiroshima opened as the favorite at 1.58 (-173) and drifted to 1.68 (-148). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60% → 58%, draw 22% → 22%, Cerezo Osaka 18% → 20%. The Asian handicap moved from Sanfrecce Hiroshima -1 to Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.75. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3. The sharpest single move came 1 h 35 min before kickoff: Sanfrecce Hiroshima went from 61% to 57% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.58 (-173) | 1.68 (-148) |
| Draw | 4.39 (+339) | 4.31 (+331) |
| Cerezo Osaka | 5.15 (+415) | 4.80 (+380) |
| Asian handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima -1 · 1.99 (-101) | Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.75 · 1.87 (-115) |
| Total | O/U 3.25 · over 2.04 (+104) | O/U 3 · over 1.93 (-107) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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