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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Mito HollyHock vs Kawasaki Frontale — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Kawasaki Frontale opened as the favorite at 1.99 (-101) and drifted to 2.27 (+127). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Mito HollyHock 27% → 31%, draw 25% → 26%, Kawasaki Frontale 48% → 43%. The Asian handicap moved from Mito HollyHock +0.5 to Mito HollyHock +0.25. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 3 h 25 min before kickoff: Kawasaki Frontale went from 46% to 44% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Mito HollyHock3.50 (+250)3.10 (+210)
Draw3.81 (+281)3.70 (+270)
Kawasaki Frontale1.99 (-101)2.27 (+127)
Asian handicapMito HollyHock +0.5 · 1.86 (-116)Mito HollyHock +0.25 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 3 · over 2.02 (+102)O/U 2.75 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%31%42%52%Mito HollyHock 31%Draw 26%Kawasaki Frontale 43%
Asian handicap · Mito HollyHock
+0.25+0.5+0.5 → +0.25
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 2.75

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