Mito HollyHock vs Kawasaki Frontale — odds movement
Sep 12, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Kawasaki Frontale opened as the favorite at 1.99 (-101) and drifted to 2.27 (+127). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Mito HollyHock 27% → 31%, draw 25% → 26%, Kawasaki Frontale 48% → 43%. The Asian handicap moved from Mito HollyHock +0.5 to Mito HollyHock +0.25. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 3 h 25 min before kickoff: Kawasaki Frontale went from 46% to 44% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Mito HollyHock | 3.50 (+250) | 3.10 (+210) |
| Draw | 3.81 (+281) | 3.70 (+270) |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1.99 (-101) | 2.27 (+127) |
| Asian handicap | Mito HollyHock +0.5 · 1.86 (-116) | Mito HollyHock +0.25 · 1.92 (-109) |
| Total | O/U 3 · over 2.02 (+102) | O/U 2.75 · over 1.95 (-105) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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