Sep 20, 2026 · 2:00 PM UK · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Liverpool opened as the favorite at 2.18 (+118) and drifted to 2.23 (+123). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bournemouth 31% → 31%, draw 25% → 26%, Liverpool 44% → 44%. The Asian handicap held at Bournemouth +0.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Bournemouth
3.14 (+214)
3.16 (+216)
Draw
3.90 (+290)
3.80 (+280)
Liverpool
2.18 (+118)
2.23 (+123)
Asian handicap
Bournemouth +0.25 · 1.99 (-101)
Bournemouth +0.25 · 1.97 (-103)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.98 (-102)
O/U 3 · over 1.83 (-121)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total (over/under)
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