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⚽ Soccer England - Premier League Final

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest — odds movement

Oct 11, 2026 · 2:00 PM UK · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Nottingham Forest opened as the favorite at 2.68 (+168) and shortened to 2.55 (+155). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Crystal Palace 36% → 33%, draw 28% → 29%, Nottingham Forest 36% → 38%. The Asian handicap held at Crystal Palace 0 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Crystal Palace2.69 (+169)2.90 (+190)
Draw3.48 (+248)3.40 (+240)
Nottingham Forest2.68 (+168)2.55 (+155)
Asian handicapCrystal Palace 0 · 1.95 (-105)Crystal Palace 0 · 2.10 (+110)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 2.5 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
26%31%36%41%Crystal Palace 33%Draw 29%Nottingham Forest 38%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (0)
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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