Oct 10, 2026 · 12:30 PM UK · 649 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 649 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Arsenal opened as the favorite at 1.36 (-280) and drifted to 1.47 (-213). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Arsenal 71% → 66%, draw 18% → 21%, Leeds United 11% → 12%. The Asian handicap held at Arsenal -1.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Arsenal
1.36 (-280)
1.47 (-213)
Draw
5.33 (+433)
4.55 (+355)
Leeds United
8.80 (+780)
7.85 (+685)
Asian handicap
Arsenal -1.25 · 1.88 (-114)
Arsenal -1.25 · 2.12 (+112)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 2.04 (+104)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.86 (-116)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-1.25)
Total (over/under)
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