Oct 11, 2026 · 2:00 PM UK · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Everton opened as the favorite at 2.10 (+110) and drifted to 2.14 (+114). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hull City 26% → 26%, draw 28% → 29%, Everton 46% → 45%. The Asian handicap moved from Hull City +0.5 to Hull City +0.25. The total moved down from 2.5 to 2.25. The sharpest single move came 42 h 5 min before kickoff: Everton went from 47% to 45% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Hull City
3.67 (+267)
3.79 (+279)
Draw
3.52 (+252)
3.37 (+237)
Everton
2.10 (+110)
2.14 (+114)
Asian handicap
Hull City +0.5 · 1.82 (-122)
Hull City +0.25 · 2.10 (+110)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 2.01 (+101)
O/U 2.25 · over 1.87 (-115)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Hull City
Total (over/under)
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