Chelsea vs Bournemouth — odds movement
Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 619 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 619 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Chelsea opened as the favorite at 1.72 (-139) and drifted to 1.83 (-121). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chelsea 56% → 53%, draw 23% → 25%, Bournemouth 21% → 22%. The Asian handicap held at Chelsea -0.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3. The sharpest single move came 9 h 45 min before kickoff: Chelsea went from 56% to 54% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Chelsea | 1.72 (-139) | 1.83 (-121) |
| Draw | 4.18 (+318) | 3.91 (+291) |
| Bournemouth | 4.65 (+365) | 4.34 (+334) |
| Asian handicap | Chelsea -0.75 · 1.91 (-110) | Chelsea -0.75 · 2.08 (+108) |
| Total | O/U 3.25 · over 2.03 (+103) | O/U 3 · over 2.02 (+102) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).