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⚽ Soccer England - Premier League Final

Chelsea vs Bournemouth — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 619 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 619 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Chelsea opened as the favorite at 1.72 (-139) and drifted to 1.83 (-121). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chelsea 56% → 53%, draw 23% → 25%, Bournemouth 21% → 22%. The Asian handicap held at Chelsea -0.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3. The sharpest single move came 9 h 45 min before kickoff: Chelsea went from 56% to 54% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Chelsea1.72 (-139)1.83 (-121)
Draw4.18 (+318)3.91 (+291)
Bournemouth4.65 (+365)4.34 (+334)
Asian handicapChelsea -0.75 · 1.91 (-110)Chelsea -0.75 · 2.08 (+108)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.03 (+103)O/U 3 · over 2.02 (+102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
13%30%47%65%Chelsea 53%Draw 25%Bournemouth 22%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).