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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Sanfrecce Hiroshima opened as the favorite at 1.70 (-142) and drifted to 1.72 (-139). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Avispa Fukuoka 21% → 20%, draw 24% → 24%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 56% → 56%. The Asian handicap held at Avispa Fukuoka +0.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Avispa Fukuoka4.58 (+358)4.82 (+382)
Draw4.01 (+301)4.03 (+303)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.70 (-142)1.72 (-139)
Asian handicapAvispa Fukuoka +0.75 · 1.94 (-106)Avispa Fukuoka +0.75 · 1.98 (-102)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 2.00 (+100)O/U 2.5 · over 1.87 (-115)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
13%30%46%63%Avispa Fukuoka 20%Draw 24%Sanfrecce Hiroshima 56%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.75)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).