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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo Verdy — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 6:30 PM JST · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Urawa Red Diamonds opened as the favorite at 1.79 (-126) and drifted to 1.95 (-105). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Urawa Red Diamonds 53% → 49%, draw 27% → 29%, Tokyo Verdy 20% → 22%. The Asian handicap held at Urawa Red Diamonds -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 2 h 35 min before kickoff: Urawa Red Diamonds went from 47% to 50% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Urawa Red Diamonds1.79 (-126)1.95 (-105)
Draw3.52 (+252)3.39 (+239)
Tokyo Verdy4.73 (+373)4.39 (+339)
Asian handicapUrawa Red Diamonds -0.5 · 1.80 (-125)Urawa Red Diamonds -0.5 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 2.25 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%29%44%59%Urawa Red Diamonds 49%Draw 29%Tokyo Verdy 22%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)

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