Scan with your phone camera V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka — odds movement
Sep 19, 2026 · 6:30 PM JST · 491 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 491 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Cerezo Osaka opened as the favorite at 1.99 (-101) and drifted to 2.19 (+119). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): V-Varen Nagasaki 26% → 29%, draw 26% → 27%, Cerezo Osaka 48% → 44%. The Asian handicap moved from V-Varen Nagasaki +0.5 to V-Varen Nagasaki +0.25. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 4 h 10 min before kickoff: Cerezo Osaka went from 46% to 44% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 3.66 (+266) | 3.34 (+234) |
| Draw | 3.62 (+262) | 3.59 (+259) |
| Cerezo Osaka | 1.99 (-101) | 2.19 (+119) |
| Asian handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki +0.5 · 1.85 (-117) | V-Varen Nagasaki +0.25 · 2.00 (+100) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 2.01 (+101) | O/U 2.75 · over 2.04 (+104) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).