Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Chiba — odds movement
Sep 19, 2026 · 6:30 PM JST · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Shimizu S-Pulse opened as the favorite at 1.85 (-117) and drifted to 1.93 (-107). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Shimizu S-Pulse 51% → 50%, draw 26% → 28%, JEF United Chiba 23% → 22%. The Asian handicap held at Shimizu S-Pulse -0.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.5 to 2.25. The sharpest single move came 3 h 10 min before kickoff: Shimizu S-Pulse went from 52% to 50% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 1.85 (-117) | 1.93 (-107) |
| Draw | 3.67 (+267) | 3.43 (+243) |
| JEF United Chiba | 4.14 (+314) | 4.43 (+343) |
| Asian handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse -0.5 · 1.86 (-116) | Shimizu S-Pulse -0.5 · 1.94 (-106) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.91 (-110) | O/U 2.25 · over 1.97 (-103) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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