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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Chiba — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 6:30 PM JST · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Shimizu S-Pulse opened as the favorite at 1.85 (-117) and drifted to 1.93 (-107). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Shimizu S-Pulse 51% → 50%, draw 26% → 28%, JEF United Chiba 23% → 22%. The Asian handicap held at Shimizu S-Pulse -0.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.5 to 2.25. The sharpest single move came 3 h 10 min before kickoff: Shimizu S-Pulse went from 52% to 50% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Shimizu S-Pulse1.85 (-117)1.93 (-107)
Draw3.67 (+267)3.43 (+243)
JEF United Chiba4.14 (+314)4.43 (+343)
Asian handicapShimizu S-Pulse -0.5 · 1.86 (-116)Shimizu S-Pulse -0.5 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 2.25 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%29%44%58%Shimizu S-Pulse 50%Draw 28%JEF United Chiba 22%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.5 → 2.25

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