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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Orlando City vs D.C. United — odds movement

Oct 17, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 629 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 629 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Orlando City opened as the favorite at 1.78 (-129) and shortened to 1.68 (-148). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Orlando City 53% → 58%, draw 22% → 22%, D.C. United 24% → 21%. The Asian handicap moved from Orlando City -0.75 to Orlando City -1. The total moved up from 3.5 to 3.75. The sharpest single move came 47 h 60 min before kickoff: Orlando City went from 53% to 55% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Orlando City1.78 (-129)1.68 (-148)
Draw4.23 (+323)4.48 (+348)
D.C. United3.93 (+293)4.60 (+360)
Asian handicapOrlando City -0.75 · 1.98 (-102)Orlando City -1 · 2.08 (+108)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.83 (-120)O/U 3.75 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%31%48%65%Orlando City 58%Draw 22%D.C. United 21%
Asian handicap · Orlando City
-1-0.75-0.75 → -1
Total (over/under)
3.53.753.5 → 3.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).