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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United — odds movement

Oct 21, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · 641 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 641 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. FC Cincinnati opened as the favorite at 1.67 (-149) and shortened to 1.64 (-156). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Cincinnati 57% → 59%, draw 21% → 20%, D.C. United 22% → 21%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Cincinnati -0.75 to FC Cincinnati -1. The total moved up from 3.5 to 3.75. The sharpest single move came 10 h 40 min before kickoff: FC Cincinnati went from 58% to 60% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
FC Cincinnati1.67 (-149)1.64 (-156)
Draw4.52 (+352)4.78 (+378)
D.C. United4.26 (+326)4.59 (+359)
Asian handicapFC Cincinnati -0.75 · 1.84 (-119)FC Cincinnati -1 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.95 (-105)O/U 3.75 · over 2.01 (+101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
11%30%49%69%FC Cincinnati 59%Draw 20%D.C. United 21%
Asian handicap · FC Cincinnati
-1-0.75-0.75 → -1
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.7543.5 → 3.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).