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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC — odds movement

Oct 17, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET · 647 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 647 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Los Angeles Galaxy opened as the favorite at 2.12 (+112) and drifted to 2.33 (+133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Los Angeles Galaxy 45% → 42%, draw 24% → 24%, San Diego FC 31% → 34%. The Asian handicap held at Los Angeles Galaxy -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.5 to 3.75. The sharpest single move came 32 h 40 min before kickoff: Los Angeles Galaxy went from 45% to 43% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Los Angeles Galaxy2.12 (+112)2.33 (+133)
Draw4.01 (+301)3.98 (+298)
San Diego FC3.02 (+202)2.83 (+183)
Asian handicapLos Angeles Galaxy -0.25 · 1.89 (-113)Los Angeles Galaxy -0.25 · 2.06 (+106)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.96 (-104)O/U 3.75 · over 1.99 (-101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
19%29%39%49%Los Angeles Galaxy 42%Draw 24%San Diego FC 34%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total (over/under)
3.53.753.5 → 3.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).