San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC — odds movement
Oct 17, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET · 647 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 647 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Nashville SC opened as the favorite at 1.93 (-108) and drifted to 1.93 (-107). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): San Jose Earthquakes 26% → 26%, draw 25% → 24%, Nashville SC 49% → 50%. The Asian handicap held at San Jose Earthquakes +0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 60 minutes before kickoff: Nashville SC went from 50% to 52% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
San Jose Earthquakes
3.65 (+265)
3.67 (+267)
Draw
3.85 (+285)
4.06 (+306)
Nashville SC
1.93 (-108)
1.93 (-107)
Asian handicap
San Jose Earthquakes +0.5 · 1.92 (-109)
San Jose Earthquakes +0.5 · 1.95 (-105)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.83 (-121)
O/U 3 · over 1.84 (-119)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.5)
Total (over/under)
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