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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew — odds movement

Oct 18, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET · 643 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 643 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 40 min before kickoff. FC Cincinnati opened as the favorite at 2.24 (+124) and drifted to 2.33 (+133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Cincinnati 42% → 42%, draw 24% → 24%, Columbus Crew 34% → 34%. The Asian handicap held at FC Cincinnati -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.5 to 3.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
FC Cincinnati2.24 (+124)2.33 (+133)
Draw4.01 (+301)4.02 (+302)
Columbus Crew2.81 (+181)2.82 (+182)
Asian handicapFC Cincinnati -0.25 · 1.99 (-101)FC Cincinnati -0.25 · 2.06 (+106)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 3.75 · over 2.01 (+101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%29%37%46%FC Cincinnati 42%Draw 24%Columbus Crew 34%
Asian handicap · FC Cincinnati
-0.250-0.25 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
3.53.753.5 → 3.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).