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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors — odds movement

Nov 1, 2026 · 9:10 PM ET · 271 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 271 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 25 h 5 min before tip-off. Los Angeles Lakers opened as the favorite at 1.51 (-195) and drifted to 1.66 (-152). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Los Angeles Lakers 64% → 59%, Toronto Raptors 36% → 41%. The spread moved from Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 to Los Angeles Lakers -3. The total moved down from 227.5 to 223.5. The sharpest single move came 12 h 40 min before tip-off: Los Angeles Lakers went from 63% to 59% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Los Angeles Lakers1.51 (-195)1.66 (-152)
Toronto Raptors2.70 (+170)2.37 (+137)
spreadLos Angeles Lakers -4.5 · 1.90 (-111)Los Angeles Lakers -3 · 1.91 (-110)
TotalO/U 227.5 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 223.5 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
31%44%56%69%Los Angeles Lakers 59%Toronto Raptors 41%
spread · Los Angeles Lakers
-4.5-4-3.5-3-2.5-4.5 → -3
Total (over/under)
223.5224.5225.5226.5227.5227.5 → 223.5

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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).