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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings — odds movement

Nov 2, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 234 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 234 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 20 h 25 min before tip-off. Dallas Mavericks opened as the favorite at 1.24 (-413) and drifted to 1.34 (-297). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Dallas Mavericks 78% → 72%, Sacramento Kings 22% → 28%. The spread moved from Dallas Mavericks -10 to Dallas Mavericks -7.5. The total moved down from 234 to 232. The sharpest single move came 6 h 20 min before tip-off: Dallas Mavericks went from 79% to 76% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Dallas Mavericks1.24 (-413)1.34 (-297)
Sacramento Kings4.31 (+331)3.48 (+248)
spreadDallas Mavericks -10 · 1.93 (-107)Dallas Mavericks -7.5 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 234 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 232 · over 1.92 (-109)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
10%37%63%90%Dallas Mavericks 72%Sacramento Kings 28%
spread · Dallas Mavericks
-10.5-10-9.5-8.5-8-7.5-10 → -7.5
Total (over/under)
231232233.5234234.5235234 → 232

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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).