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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics — odds movement

Nov 2, 2026 · 8:40 PM ET · 282 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 282 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 24 h 25 min before tip-off. Houston Rockets opened as the favorite at 1.52 (-192) and drifted to 1.59 (-169). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Houston Rockets 64% → 62%, Boston Celtics 36% → 38%. The spread moved from Houston Rockets -5 to Houston Rockets -4. The total moved down from 220 to 215.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Houston Rockets1.52 (-192)1.59 (-169)
Boston Celtics2.67 (+167)2.55 (+155)
spreadHouston Rockets -5 · 1.97 (-103)Houston Rockets -4 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 220 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 215.5 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
30%43%57%70%Houston Rockets 62%Boston Celtics 38%
spread · Houston Rockets
-6-5-4-5 → -4
Total (over/under)
215.5217218.5219220220 → 215.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).