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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks — odds movement

Nov 2, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 276 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 276 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 23 h 55 min before tip-off. Minnesota Timberwolves opened as the favorite at 1.21 (-474) and drifted to 1.24 (-411). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Minnesota Timberwolves 80% → 78%, Milwaukee Bucks 20% → 22%. The spread held at Minnesota Timberwolves -10.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 233.5 to 230. The sharpest single move came 6 h 5 min before tip-off: Minnesota Timberwolves went from 80% to 78% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Minnesota Timberwolves1.21 (-474)1.24 (-411)
Milwaukee Bucks4.71 (+371)4.29 (+329)
spreadMinnesota Timberwolves -10.5 · 1.95 (-105)Minnesota Timberwolves -10.5 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 233.5 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 230 · over 1.89 (-112)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
9%36%64%91%Minnesota Timberwolves 78%Milwaukee Bucks 22%
spread · Minnesota Timberwolves
-11.5-11-10.5-10-10.5 → -10.5
Total (over/under)
230233233.5234233.5 → 230

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).