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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans — odds movement

Nov 2, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · 276 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 276 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 23 h 55 min before tip-off. Memphis Grizzlies opened as the favorite at 1.45 (-223) and drifted to 1.47 (-214). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Memphis Grizzlies 67% → 66%, New Orleans Pelicans 33% → 34%. The spread held at Memphis Grizzlies -6 the whole way. The total moved down from 235 to 231.5. The sharpest single move came 11 h 50 min before tip-off: Memphis Grizzlies went from 67% to 65% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Memphis Grizzlies1.45 (-223)1.47 (-214)
New Orleans Pelicans2.92 (+192)2.90 (+190)
spreadMemphis Grizzlies -6 · 1.97 (-103)Memphis Grizzlies -6 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 235 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 231.5 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
26%42%58%74%Memphis Grizzlies 66%New Orleans Pelicans 34%
spread · Memphis Grizzlies
-6.5-6-5.5-5-6 → -6
Total (over/under)
231.5232.5234234.5235235.5235 → 231.5

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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).