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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat — odds movement

Nov 2, 2026 · 10:10 PM ET · 255 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 255 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 22 h 10 min before tip-off. Los Angeles Lakers opened as the favorite at 1.79 (-126) and shortened to 1.78 (-128). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Los Angeles Lakers 54% → 55%, Miami Heat 46% → 45%. The spread moved from Los Angeles Lakers -2 to Los Angeles Lakers -1.5. The total moved down from 237.5 to 236.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Los Angeles Lakers1.79 (-126)1.78 (-128)
Miami Heat2.12 (+112)2.18 (+118)
spreadLos Angeles Lakers -2 · 1.93 (-107)Los Angeles Lakers -1.5 · 1.89 (-112)
TotalO/U 237.5 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 236.5 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
41%47%53%59%Los Angeles Lakers 55%Miami Heat 45%
spread · Los Angeles Lakers
-2.5-2-1.5-2 → -1.5
Total (over/under)
236.5237.5237.5 → 236.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).