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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers — odds movement

Nov 2, 2026 · 9:10 PM ET · 288 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 288 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 24 h 55 min before tip-off. Denver Nuggets opened as the favorite at 1.57 (-175) and drifted to 1.61 (-164). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Denver Nuggets 62% → 61%, Portland Trail Blazers 38% → 39%. The spread moved from Denver Nuggets -4 to Denver Nuggets -4.5. The total moved up from 231 to 231.5. The sharpest single move came 17 h 40 min before tip-off: Denver Nuggets went from 60% to 62% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Denver Nuggets1.57 (-175)1.61 (-164)
Portland Trail Blazers2.53 (+153)2.51 (+151)
spreadDenver Nuggets -4 · 1.91 (-110)Denver Nuggets -4.5 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 231 · over 2.00 (+100)O/U 231.5 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
33%44%56%67%Denver Nuggets 61%Portland Trail Blazers 39%
spread · Denver Nuggets
-5-4.5-4-4 → -4.5
Total (over/under)
230.5231231.5232232.5231 → 231.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).