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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers — odds movement

Nov 1, 2026 · 8:40 PM ET · 189 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 189 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 15 min before tip-off. Golden State Warriors opened as the favorite at 1.78 (-128) and drifted to 1.84 (-119). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Golden State Warriors 55% → 53%, Los Angeles Clippers 45% → 47%. The spread moved from Golden State Warriors -2 to Golden State Warriors -1.5. The total moved up from 219 to 220.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Golden State Warriors1.78 (-128)1.84 (-119)
Los Angeles Clippers2.14 (+114)2.08 (+108)
spreadGolden State Warriors -2 · 1.92 (-109)Golden State Warriors -1.5 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 219 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 220.5 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
42%47%53%58%Golden State Warriors 53%Los Angeles Clippers 47%
spread · Golden State Warriors
-2.5-2-1.5-2 → -1.5
Total (over/under)
219220220.5221221.5222219 → 220.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).