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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder — odds movement

Nov 2, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · 267 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 267 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 23 h 10 min before tip-off. Cleveland Cavaliers opened as the favorite at 1.63 (-160) and shortened to 1.61 (-165). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cleveland Cavaliers 60% → 61%, Oklahoma City Thunder 40% → 39%. The spread moved from Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 to Cleveland Cavaliers -4. The total moved up from 228 to 229. The sharpest single move came 15 h 40 min before tip-off: Oklahoma City Thunder went from 38% to 40% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Cleveland Cavaliers1.63 (-160)1.61 (-165)
Oklahoma City Thunder2.41 (+141)2.51 (+151)
spreadCleveland Cavaliers -3.5 · 1.93 (-107)Cleveland Cavaliers -4 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 228 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 229 · over 1.89 (-112)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
33%44%56%67%Cleveland Cavaliers 61%Oklahoma City Thunder 39%
spread · Cleveland Cavaliers
-4.5-4-3.5-3.5 → -4
Total (over/under)
227.5228228.5229230228 → 229

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).