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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards — odds movement

Nov 2, 2026 · 7:40 PM ET · 262 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 262 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 23 h 25 min before tip-off. Orlando Magic opened as the favorite at 1.83 (-121) and shortened to 1.70 (-142). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Orlando Magic 53% → 58%, Washington Wizards 47% → 42%. The spread moved from Orlando Magic -1.5 to Orlando Magic -3. The total moved up from 224.5 to 225. The sharpest single move came 12 h 35 min before tip-off: Orlando Magic went from 53% to 56% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Orlando Magic1.83 (-121)1.70 (-142)
Washington Wizards2.08 (+108)2.31 (+131)
spreadOrlando Magic -1.5 · 1.90 (-111)Orlando Magic -3 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 224.5 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 225 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
38%46%54%62%Orlando Magic 58%Washington Wizards 42%
spread · Orlando Magic
-3-2.5-2-1.5-1.5 → -3
Total (over/under)
223.5224224.5225225.5226224.5 → 225

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).