Scan with your phone camera Brighton vs Leeds United — odds movement
Sep 5, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 489 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 489 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 59 h 15 min before kickoff. Brighton opened as the favorite at 1.93 (-107) and drifted to 1.99 (-101). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Brighton 50% → 49%, draw 26% → 27%, Leeds United 24% → 25%. The Asian handicap held at Brighton -0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 9 h 15 min before kickoff: Brighton went from 48% to 46% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Brighton | 1.93 (-107) | 1.99 (-101) |
| Draw | 3.69 (+269) | 3.66 (+266) |
| Leeds United | 4.06 (+306) | 3.95 (+295) |
| Asian handicap | Brighton -0.5 · 1.94 (-106) | Brighton -0.5 · 2.00 (+100) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.91 (-110) | O/U 2.75 · over 2.05 (+105) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).