Sep 5, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 487 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 487 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 58 h 60 min before kickoff. Brentford opened as the favorite at 1.63 (-159) and drifted to 1.71 (-140). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Brentford 59% → 56%, draw 24% → 25%, Sunderland 17% → 19%. The Asian handicap moved from Brentford -1 to Brentford -0.75. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 9 h 15 min before kickoff: Brentford went from 57% to 55% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Brentford
1.63 (-159)
1.71 (-140)
Draw
4.05 (+305)
3.90 (+290)
Sunderland
5.67 (+467)
5.16 (+416)
Asian handicap
Brentford -1 · 2.11 (+111)
Brentford -0.75 · 1.93 (-107)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.86 (-116)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.87 (-115)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Brentford
Total (over/under)
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