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⚽ Soccer England - Premier League Final

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 484 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 484 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 58 h 45 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Nottingham Forest opened favored at 2.46 (+146), but by the last snapshot Tottenham Hotspur was the favorite at 2.66 (+166). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Nottingham Forest 39% → 35%, draw 27% → 28%, Tottenham Hotspur 33% → 36%. The Asian handicap moved from Nottingham Forest -0.25 to Nottingham Forest 0. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 60 minutes before kickoff: Nottingham Forest went from 39% to 36% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Nottingham Forest2.46 (+146)2.76 (+176)
Draw3.55 (+255)3.42 (+242)
Tottenham Hotspur2.91 (+191)2.66 (+166)
Asian handicapNottingham Forest -0.25 · 2.13 (+113)Nottingham Forest 0 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 2.5 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
24%30%37%43%Nottingham Forest 35%Draw 28%Tottenham Hotspur 36%
Asian handicap · Nottingham Forest
-0.250-0.25 → 0
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).