Sep 6, 2026 · 2:00 PM UK · 239 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 239 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 20 h 10 min before kickoff. Manchester United opened as the favorite at 2.15 (+115) and shortened to 1.96 (-104). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Everton 29% → 26%, draw 26% → 24%, Manchester United 45% → 50%. The Asian handicap moved from Everton +0.25 to Everton +0.5. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 3 h 25 min before kickoff: Manchester United went from 47% to 48% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Everton
3.35 (+235)
3.79 (+279)
Draw
3.70 (+270)
4.01 (+301)
Manchester United
2.15 (+115)
1.96 (-104)
Asian handicap
Everton +0.25 · 2.03 (+103)
Everton +0.5 · 1.96 (-104)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117)
O/U 3 · over 1.95 (-105)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Everton
Total (over/under)
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