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Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 89 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 89 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 7 h 40 min before kickoff. Seattle Sounders opened as the favorite at 1.89 (-113) and shortened to 1.83 (-120). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Seattle Sounders 51% → 53%, draw 24% → 23%, New York Red Bulls 25% → 24%. The Asian handicap moved from Seattle Sounders -0.5 to Seattle Sounders -0.75. The total stayed at 3.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Seattle Sounders1.89 (-113)1.83 (-120)
Draw4.08 (+308)4.22 (+322)
New York Red Bulls3.84 (+284)3.95 (+295)
Asian handicapSeattle Sounders -0.5 · 1.89 (-112)Seattle Sounders -0.75 · 2.04 (+104)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.90 (-111)O/U 3.5 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%31%45%59%Seattle Sounders 53%Draw 23%New York Red Bulls 24%
Asian handicap · Seattle Sounders
-0.75-0.5-0.5 → -0.75
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).