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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 30 min before kickoff. Charlotte FC opened as the favorite at 2.32 (+132) and shortened to 2.14 (+114). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Charlotte FC 41% → 45%, draw 24% → 25%, FC Dallas 34% → 30%. The Asian handicap held at Charlotte FC -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 55 minutes before kickoff: FC Dallas went from 33% to 31% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Charlotte FC2.32 (+132)2.14 (+114)
Draw3.89 (+289)3.85 (+285)
FC Dallas2.76 (+176)3.25 (+225)
Asian handicapCharlotte FC -0.25 · 2.05 (+105)Charlotte FC -0.25 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 3.25 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%30%40%50%Charlotte FC 45%Draw 25%FC Dallas 30%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).