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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Atlanta United vs FC Cincinnati — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 30 min before kickoff. Atlanta United opened as the favorite at 2.47 (+147) and shortened to 2.26 (+126). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atlanta United 39% → 43%, draw 25% → 24%, FC Cincinnati 37% → 34%. The Asian handicap moved from Atlanta United 0 to Atlanta United -0.25. The total stayed at 3.5. The sharpest single move came 18 h 45 min before kickoff: Atlanta United went from 39% to 42% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Atlanta United2.47 (+147)2.26 (+126)
Draw3.86 (+286)4.09 (+309)
FC Cincinnati2.59 (+159)2.88 (+188)
Asian handicapAtlanta United 0 · 1.88 (-114)Atlanta United -0.25 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 3.5 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%28%37%46%Atlanta United 43%Draw 24%FC Cincinnati 34%
Asian handicap · Atlanta United
-0.2500 → -0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).