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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Austin FC vs Nashville SC — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 647 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 647 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 10 min before kickoff. Nashville SC opened as the favorite at 1.91 (-110) and shortened to 1.80 (-125). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Austin FC 25% → 23%, draw 25% → 24%, Nashville SC 50% → 54%. The Asian handicap moved from Austin FC +0.5 to Austin FC +0.75. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Nashville SC went from 50% to 53% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Austin FC3.83 (+283)4.26 (+326)
Draw3.74 (+274)4.07 (+307)
Nashville SC1.91 (-110)1.80 (-125)
Asian handicapAustin FC +0.5 · 1.93 (-107)Austin FC +0.75 · 1.86 (-116)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.92 (-109)O/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%31%45%59%Austin FC 23%Draw 24%Nashville SC 54%
Asian handicap · Austin FC
+0.5+0.75+0.5 → +0.75
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).