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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Inter Miami vs D.C. United — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 30 min before kickoff. Inter Miami opened as the favorite at 1.39 (-254) and drifted to 1.40 (-252). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Inter Miami 68% → 69%, draw 17% → 17%, D.C. United 15% → 14%. The Asian handicap held at Inter Miami -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.75. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before kickoff: Inter Miami went from 67% to 69% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Inter Miami1.39 (-254)1.40 (-252)
Draw5.45 (+445)5.53 (+453)
D.C. United6.38 (+538)7.05 (+605)
Asian handicapInter Miami -1.5 · 1.97 (-103)Inter Miami -1.5 · 2.03 (+103)
TotalO/U 3.75 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 3.75 · over 1.99 (-101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
4%29%54%79%Inter Miami 69%Draw 17%D.C. United 14%
Asian handicap · Inter Miami
-1.5-1.25-1.5 → -1.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.75)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).