Oct 10, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 30 min before kickoff. Orlando City opened as the favorite at 2.05 (+105) and drifted to 2.17 (+117). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Orlando City 46% → 45%, draw 24% → 24%, Columbus Crew 30% → 31%. The Asian handicap held at Orlando City -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 8 h 50 min before kickoff: Orlando City went from 49% to 46% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Orlando City
2.05 (+105)
2.17 (+117)
Draw
4.02 (+302)
3.98 (+298)
Columbus Crew
3.18 (+218)
3.11 (+211)
Asian handicap
Orlando City -0.25 · 1.82 (-122)
Orlando City -0.25 · 1.92 (-109)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.84 (-119)
O/U 3.5 · over 2.05 (+105)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Orlando City
Total (over/under)
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