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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 30 min before kickoff. New England Revolution opened as the favorite at 1.87 (-115) and drifted to 1.99 (-101). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New England Revolution 51% → 49%, draw 24% → 24%, Seattle Sounders 25% → 28%. The Asian handicap held at New England Revolution -0.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
New England Revolution1.87 (-115)1.99 (-101)
Draw4.00 (+300)4.06 (+306)
Seattle Sounders3.73 (+273)3.49 (+249)
Asian handicapNew England Revolution -0.5 · 1.88 (-114)New England Revolution -0.5 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.03 (+103)O/U 3 · over 1.83 (-121)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
19%31%43%56%New England Revolution 49%Draw 24%Seattle Sounders 28%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).