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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

St Louis City SC vs Los Angeles Galaxy — odds movement

Oct 11, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. St Louis City SC opened as the favorite at 1.55 (-183) and shortened to 1.50 (-201). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): St Louis City SC 61% → 64%, draw 19% → 19%, Los Angeles Galaxy 20% → 16%. The Asian handicap moved from St Louis City SC -1 to St Louis City SC -1.25. The total stayed at 3.5. The sharpest single move came 12 h 25 min before kickoff: St Louis City SC went from 62% to 64% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
St Louis City SC1.55 (-183)1.50 (-201)
Draw4.96 (+396)4.95 (+395)
Los Angeles Galaxy4.82 (+382)5.95 (+495)
Asian handicapSt Louis City SC -1 · 1.86 (-116)St Louis City SC -1.25 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 3.5 · over 2.01 (+101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%30%52%74%St Louis City SC 64%Draw 19%Los Angeles Galaxy 16%
Asian handicap · St Louis City SC
-1.25-1-1 → -1.25
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.5 → 3.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).